Russia-Baiting and Risks of Nuclear War
From Consortiumnews.com, by Ray McGovern, September 30, 2016
As U.S. and
Russian officials trade barbed threats and as diplomacy on Syria is “on the
verge” of extinction, it is tempting to view the ongoing propaganda exchange
over who shot down Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 in July 2014 as a sideshow. That
would be a huge mistake…
There are advantages to having some hands-on
experience, and having watched how propaganda wars can easily escalate to
military confrontation.
In a Sept. 28 interview with Sputnik Radio, I
addressed some serious implications of the decision by the US and two of its
European vassal states (the Netherlands and Ukraine) to stoke tensions with
Russia still higher by blaming it for the downing of MH-17.
In short, there is considerable risk that the Russians may see
this particular propaganda offensive (which “justified” the European Union’s
economic sanctions in 2014), together with NATO’s saber rattling in central
Europe, as steps toward war. In fact, there is troubling precedent for precisely
that.
A
very similar set of circumstances existed 33 years ago after the Soviets did
shoot down Korean Airlines Flight 007 on Sept. 1, 1983, when it strayed over
sensitive military targets inside the Soviet Union and the KAL-007 pilots
failed to respond to repeated warnings. After the tragic reality became
obvious, the Soviets acknowledged that they had downed the plane but said they
did not know it was a passenger plane.
However,
1983 was another time of high tensions between the two superpowers and President
Ronald Reagan wanted to paint the Soviets in the darkest of hues. So, his
administration set out to sell the storyline that the Soviets had willfully
murdered the 269 passengers and crew.
US government propagandists and their media stenographers laid
on all the Sturm und Drang they could summon to promote the lie
that the Soviets knew KAL-007 was a civilian passenger plane before they shot
it down. As Newsweek’s headline declared, “Murder in the Sky.”
Exploitation of the tragedy yielded a steep rise in tensions,
and almost led to a nuclear exchange just two months later. There is an
important lesson, now three decades later, as Western governments and the
mainstream media manufacture more endless fear and hatred of Russia.
The Dutch/Ukrainian Follies
On
Wednesday, new “evidence” blaming Russia for the downing of MH-17 over eastern
Ukraine was made public – brought out of the oven, as it were, at a Dutch Maid
bakery employing Ukrainian confectioners. A bite into the evidence and it
immediately dissolves like refined sugar – and leaves an unpleasant artificial
taste in the mouth.
The Dutch-Ukrainian charade played by the “Joint Investigation
Team,” on which Belgium, Australia and Malaysia also have members, is an insult
to the relatives and friends of the 298 human beings killed in the shoot-down.
Understandably, those relatives and friends long for truth and accountability,
and they deserve it.
Yet, as happened in 1983 with the credulous acceptance of the
Reagan administration’s version of the KAL-007 case, the mainstream Western
media has embraced the JIT’s findings as “conclusive” and the evidence as
“overwhelming.”
But it is in reality extraordinarily thin, essentially a case of
deciding immediately after the event that the Russians were to be blamed and
spending more than two years assembling snippets of intercepted conversations
(from 150,000 provided by the Ukrainian intelligence service) that could be
stitched together to create an impression of guilt.
In
the slick video, which serves as the JIT’s investigative “report,” the
intercepted voices don’t say anything about Russian Buk missiles actually being
deployed inside Ukraine or shooting down a plane or the need to get the Buk
missiles out of Ukraine afterwards. One voice early on says he’d like to have
some Buks but – after that – Buks aren’t mentioned and everything in the video
is supposition. [See Consortiumnews.com’s “Troubling Gaps in MH-17 Report.”]
There’s
also no explanation as to why the Russians would have taken a bizarrely
circuitous route when a much more direct and discreet course was available. The
JIT’s embrace of that strange itinerary was made necessary by the fact that the
only “social media” images of a Buk system traveling on July 17, 2014, before
the MH-17 shoot-down, show the Buks heading east toward Russia, not west from
Russia. [See Consortiumnews.com’s “The Official and Implausible MH-17 Scenario.”]
In other words, to make the storyline fit with the available
images, the JIT had to take the alleged Russian-Buk convoy on a ridiculous trip
far out of the way so it could be photographed in Donetsk before doubling back
toward the alleged firing site near Snizhne, which could have been reached
easily from the Russian border without the extensive detour through heavily
populated areas.
Ignoring Inconvenient Evidence
The
JIT also had to ignore its own evidence that on the night of July 16-17, 2014,
Ukrainian military convoys were pressing deep inside what has been called
“rebel-controlled territory.” The obvious implication is that if a Ukrainian
convoy could move to within a few miles of Luhansk, as one of the intercepts
described, a Ukrainian Buk convoy could have traveled to the east as well.
And,
the JIT’s presumed motive for the Russians taking the extraordinary decision of
supplying a Buk battery to the rebels – that it was needed to shoot down
Ukrainian warplanes attacking rebels on the front lines – doesn’t fit with the
placement of a Buk system on farmland south of Snizhne, far from the
frontlines.
Indeed, very little about the
JIT’s case makes sense.
It
also appears that the JIT devoted no effort to examining other plausible
scenarios regarding who might have shot down MH-17. The JIT video report makes
no reference to the several Ukrainian Buk systems that were operating in
eastern Ukraine on the day that MH-17 was shot down.
The Dutch intelligence service MIVD, relying on NATO’s
intelligence capabilities, reported earlier that the only anti-aircraft-missile
systems in the area on July 17, 2014, capable of shooting down MH-17 were under
the control of the Ukrainian military.
But
the JIT’s report offered no explanation of where those Ukrainian Buk systems
were located or whether Ukraine had accounted for all the Buk missiles in those
batteries.
The JIT’s blinders can be explained by the fact that it was
coordinating (and relying on) Ukraine’s SBU intelligence agency, which has
among its responsibilities the protection of Ukrainian government secrets.
The shocking reality about the JIT is that one of the major
suspects for having shot down MH-17, Ukraine, was pretty much running the
inquiry.
Yet, since the JIT’s accusations on Wednesday, the West’s
mainstream media has put on its own blinders so as not to notice the gaps and
inconsistencies in the case.
But what should be apparent
to anyone without blinders is that the JIT set its sights on blaming the
Russians for the MH-17 shoot-down in 2014 and nothing was going to get in the
way of that conclusion.
That
predetermined conclusion began with Secretary of State John Kerry’s rush to
judgment, just three days after the shoot-down, putting the blame on the
Russians. It then took the JIT more than two years to scrape together enough
“evidence” to “confirm” Kerry’s findings.
The Near-Nuclear Clash
After KAL-007 went down, the US propaganda machinery, led by the
US Information Agency, went into high gear, even doctoring evidence for a U.N.
Security Council meeting to “prove” the Soviets knew KAL-007 was a civilian aircraft and
still shot it down deliberately.
“Barbaric”
was the word used then – and in recent days US Ambassador to the UN Samantha
Power has applied that epithet again to the leaders in the Kremlin.
The same sort of anti-Russian hysteria is in play today as it
was in 1983. And we now know based on declassified records that the extreme
vilification of Moscow back then led Soviet leaders to believe that President
Reagan was preparing for a nuclear war, a conflict that almost got started because
of the harsh propaganda, combined with unprecedented military exercises and
other provocations…
In 2016, as we deal with the
West’s new hysteria regarding Russia – complete with rehashes of prior
propaganda themes and military escalations – the pressing question is whether
there are any adults left at senior levels of Official Washington who can rein
in the madness before things spin entirely out of control.
Santayana famously noted, “Those who cannot remember the past
are condemned to repeat it.”
But the real danger now is that history won’t stop
at repeating itself but will continue beyond, plunging over the nuclear
precipice.
Ray McGovern is a former US Army
infantry/intelligence officer & CIA analyst (ret.)
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